Tuesday, July 9, 2013

Updated severe risk

SPC wind damage risk tonight
The Storm Prediction Center is keeping just about all of Indiana down to Louisville for a 15% or slight risk of damaging winds for tonight.  There have been a few stray storms but nothing organized so far.

This may be dropped in the next outlook if nothing fires shortly.

8:40 update....new update in from the SPC and the southern edge of the 15% goest across the northern suburbs and covers just about all of Indiana for tonight.





The northern half of Kentucky and the southern half of Indiana are in a 15% risk again for Wednesday with the highest time during the afternoon.






SPC says:  SUFFICIENT DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD BE IN PLACE TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED SVR MULTICELLS AND PERHAPS SUPERCELLS. SUPERCELLS MAY BE MORE LIKELY ACROSS THE MIDDLE MS AND OHIO VALLEY PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE STRONGER INSTABILITY...STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SUFFICIENT SHEAR WILL EXIST.
After the front triggering the storms moves through, pleasant weather is on the way for several days.  Dew points in the 70's today and tonight will drop into the 50's by late this week for a temporary change in the weather pattern.

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